Statistics and Observations about the 2017 Draft

I’ve been keeping track of the draft since 2006- for 12 years now. I think it’s worthwhile to take a look at how this one stacks up. First, we will look at some statistics from 2017, and then some comparisons.

Here are some statistics about this draft:

  • By team:
    • Front Royal- 8
    • Staunton, Harrisonburg- 7
    • Waynesboro- 6
    • Winchester, Charles Town- 4
    • Charlottesville, Purcellville- 3
    • Strasburg- 2
    • Covington, Woodstock- 1
    • New Market- 0
  • Major league organizations with the most picks:
    • Baltimore- 5
    • San Francisco- 4
    • Oakland, Pittsburgh, Arizona- 3
    • Toronto, Kansas City, LA Dodgers, San Diego, Boston, Texas, Washington, Chicago Cubs- 2
  • By position:
    • Right handed pitchers- 16
    • Outfielders- 8
    • Left handed pitchers- 7
    • Shortstops, catchers- 3
    • First and second basemen- 2
    • Third base, “utility,” and “infielder”- 1
  • College programs with more than one draftee:
    • Wake Forest, Florida International- 3
    • Southern Illinois Carbondale, Florida- 2

Here are some observations:

  • Nate Pearson, drafted at #28 overall, was the first 1st round pick since Cory Spangenberg (Winchester 2010) went 10th overall in 2011, and became the 6th player drafted in the 1st round.
    • Other first rounders:
      • Alex Wimmers (Luray 2008)- #21 overall in 2010
      • Yonder Alonso (Luray 2006)- #7 overall in 2008
      • Carlos Gutierrez (Luray 2007)- #27 overall in 2008
      • Chris Perez (Staunton 2004)- #42 overall in 2006
  • 2017 saw 44 players get drafted in 40 rounds, an average of 1.1 per round. Comparisons:
    • 2016- 24 in 40 rounds= 0.6 per round
    • 2015- 46 in 40 rounds= 1.15 per round
    • 2014- 49 in 40 rounds= 1.23 per round
    • 2013- 40 in 40 rounds= 1.0 per round
    • 2012- 51 in 40 rounds= 1.25 per round
    • 2011- 71 in 50 rounds= 1.42 per round
    • 2010- 70 in 50 rounds= 1.40 per round
    • 2009- 58 in 50 rounds= 1.16 per round
    • 2008- 55 in 50 rounds= 1.1 per round
    • 2007- 59 in 50 rounds= 1.18 per round
    • 2006- 59 in 50 rounds= 1.18 per round
      • So while 1.1 per round isn’t close to the best year, 2017 is clearly a step up from 2016, which saw the lowest average over the data period.
  • Eight players were drafted in the first 8 rounds in 2017. How does that stack up?
    • 2016- 1
    • 2015- 4
    • 2014- 9
    • 2013- 3
    • 2012- 6
    • 2011- 7
    • 2010- 8
    • 2009- 7
    • 2008- 7
    • 2007- 4
    • 2006- 5
      • 2017 is tied for the second best total in the first 8 rounds.
  • How about major league players from the drafts? (Keep in mind that it takes literally years to see this stat develop)
    • 2017- 0 (of course)
    • 2016- 0 (also of course)
    • 2015- 0 (too soon)
    • 2014- 0 (still too soon)
    • 2013- 3
    • 2012- 1 (Mac Williamson (Harrisonburg 2011), if you’re interested)
    • 2011- 6
    • 2010- 8
    • 2009- 4
    • 2008- 8
    • 2007- 4
    • 2006- 12

The 2017 Draft List

Here is the list of the 44 former (and current) Valley League players drafted this year…

1   28 Nate Pearson, RHP, Central Florida, Toronto Blue Jays (Staunton 16)
4  120 Michael Gigliotti, CF, Lipscomb, Kansas City Royals (Covington 15)
4  126 Garrett Cave, RHP, Tampa, San Francisco Giants (Staunton 15)
6  190 Wills Montgomerie, RHP, Connecticut, Los Angeles Dodgers (Waynesboro 15)
7 198 Nick Margevicius, LHP, Rider, San Diego Padres (Staunton 15)
7 218 Ben Breazeale, C, Wake Forest, Baltimore Orioles (Harrisonburg 14)
8 243 Billy Cooke, CF, Coastal Carolina, Seattle Mariners (Charlottesville 15)
8 251 Zach Sterry, 1B, Oakland, Boston Red Sox (Waynesboro 2016)
11 321 Ryan Gridley, SS, Mississippi State, Oakland A’s (Waynesboro 2015)
11 338 Trevor Craport, Util, Georgia Tech, Baltimore Orioles (Harrisonburg 16)
11 339 Donnie Sellers, RHP, Wake Forest, Toronto Blue Jays (Harrisonburg 2016)
13 385 Kevin Williams, LF, Samford, Los Angeles Angels (Front Royal 2016)
13 398 Reed Hayes, RHP, Vanderbilt, Baltimore Orioles (Staunton 15)
15 451 Kyle Davis, 2B, West Virginia, Houston Astros (Charlottesville 15)
15 458 Juan Escarra, 1B, Florida International, Baltimore Orioles (Staunton 14)
17 524 Tyler Ratliff, 3B, Marshall, Texas Rangers (Purcellville 16)
18 551 Dominic LoBrutto, LHP, Florida International, Boston (Winchester 16)
19 574 Irving Lopez, 2B, Florida International, St.Louis (Staunton 16)
19 583 Jonathan Pryor, OF, Wake Forest, Washington Nationals (Harrisonburg 16)
20 598 Will Reed, RHP, Harford CC, Pittsburgh Pirates (Purcellville 16)
21 618 Greg Lambert, CF, S.Illinois Carbondale, San Diego (Front Royal 15)
22 655 James Ziemba, LHP, Duke, Arizona (Harrisonburg 14-15)
22 658 Brett Pope, SS, Western Carolina, Pittsburgh (Charlottesville 15)
23 681 Malik Jones, RHP, Missouri Baptist, Oakland (Purcell, Harrison 16)
24 732 Riley Echols, RHP, Freed Hardeman, Cleveland (Charles Town 15)
24 734 Brooks Wilson, RHP, Stetson, Texas (Waynesboro 15)
25 765 Mitch Stophel, RHP, King, Chicago Cubs (Front Royal 16)
26 772 Abraham Almonte, LHP, Philadelphia, Arizona (Strasburg 16)
26 776 Aubrey McCarty, RF, Florida A&M, Colorado (Waynesboro 15)
26 785 Drew Crosby, LHP, Memphis, Detroit (Winchester 15)
26 793 Kameron Esthay, OF, Baylor, Washington (Harrisonburg 15)
27 808 David Lee, RHP, Florida, Pittsburgh (Winchester 15-6)
27 810 Nick Hutchins, C, S.Illinois Carbondale, Kansas City (Front Royal 15)
27 812 Alex Mauricio, RHP, Norfolk State, New York Yankees (Waynesboro 15)
28 835 Bernabe Camargo, SS, Galveston, Arizona Diamondbacks (Front Royal 16)
28 848 Zach Jarrett, OF, UNC CHarlotte, Baltimore (Woodstock 14)
29 876 Frank Rubio, RHP, Florida, San Francisco (Front Royal 16)
30 891 Cody Puckett, LHP, Middle Tennessee, Oakland (Front Royal 15)
31 936 Keenan Bartlett, RHP, Richmond, San Francisco (Winchester 15)
33 996 Peyton Maddox, C, VMI, San Francisco (Charles Town 15, Staunton 16)
34 1019 Karl Craigie, LHP, UT San Antonio, Miami (Charles Town 14)
35 1060 Colby Nealy, RHP, Washington State, LA Dodgers (Strasburg 15)
37 1107 Ted Andrews, RHP, Tulane, Chicago White Sox (Front Royal 17)
39 1185 Cooper Coldiron, INF, Houston, Chicago Cubs (Charles Town 15)

MLB Draft Starts Tonight

The Major League draft begins with Round 1, the Supplemental Rounds, and Round 2 starting at 7 PM this evening. It’s one of my favorite nights of the year!

By most accounts, Nate Pearson (Staunton 2016), Michael Gigliotti (Covington 2015) and Garrett Cave (Staunton 2015) will be the first Valley Leaguers drafted.

Stay tuned- I will be keeping track!

Top 200 Draft Prospects

Each June, the Valley League has a few dozen players drafted by major league teams. (Some years many dozens.) With the draft about a month away, some outlets have started listing their top draft prospect lists.

Today we focus on Baseball America’s top 200 draft list, which includes five former Valley Leaguers. (All stats through May 9th)

30. Nate Pearson (Staunton 2016), pitcher for Central Florida JC. Nate is 5-2, 1.56, with 118 strikeouts in only 81 innings.

88. Michael Gigliotti (Covington 2015), outfielder for Lipscomb. Michael is hitting 270/442/362 in 163 at-bats. He has a crazy 42 walks on the season.

147. Garrett Cave (Staunton 2015), pitcher for Tampa. The 6-foot-4 righthander is 5-2, 4.80, with 72 strikeouts in 54 1/3 innings pitched.

155. Donnie Sellers (Harrisonburg 2016), pitcher for Wake Forest. Donnie is 3-4, 4.23, with 42 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings pitched.

174. Reed Hayes (Staunton 2015), pitcher for Vanderbilt (was pitching for Walter State when he played in the Valley). Reed is 0-1, 2.87, with 7 saves and 17 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched.

Stay tuned, of course- when June 12-14 rolls around, ATVL will keep everyone updated about who gets a chance to start a pro baseball career!

 

 

2017 Baseball America Top Draft Prospects

Each year, Baseball America ranks the top draft prospects in each Division I league, and also the other levels, junior college, NAIA, and Divisions II and III. (By the way, years ago I was chatting with a VBL team executive who had an idea to gather all the best D-III prospects during a summer to see how they would fare against the rest of the league. Does anyone have any thoughts of what might happen?)

Anyway, many former Valley Leaguers were named in BA’s college preview article. Let’s take a look, by level first, and then by league.

Division II

#1. Garrett Cave, rhp, Tampa (Staunton 2015)

NAIA

#5. Riley Echols, rhp, Freed-Hardeman (Charles Town 2015)
#10. Brandon Guske, rhp, Freed-Hardeman (Winchester 2015)

Junior College

#2. Nate Pearson, rhp, JC of Central Florida (Staunton 2016)

SWAC

Tyler Howe, rhp, Alabama State (Waynesboro 2015-16), preseason Pitcher of the Year
#1. Ray Hernandez, 3B, Alabama State (Purcellville 2016)
#2. Yamil Pagan, OF, Alabama State (Front Royal 2016)
#6. Joseph Estrada, rhp/OF, Alabama State (Waynesboro 2015)

Southern

#4 Bryson Bowman, OF, Western Carolina (Charles Town 2015)
#10. Chris Cook, SS, East Tennessee State (Waynesboro 2015)

Sun Belt

#5. Kevin Woodall, 1B, Coastal Carolina (New Market 2015)
#9. Brendan Donovan, 3B, South Alabama (New Market 2016)- 2018 potential draftee
#10. Corey Childress, rhp, Troy (Harrisonburg 2016)
#20. Billy Cooke, OF, Coastal Carolina (Charlottesville 2015)

Ohio Valley

#2. Zach Neff, lhp, Austin Peay (Waynesboro 2016)

MAAC

#10. Jose Carrera, SS, Manhattan (Covington 2014-16)
Fabian Pena, C, Manhattan (Covington 2016)- preseason Player of the Year

MEAC

#4. Aubrey McCarty, rhp/OF, Florida A&M  (Waynesboro 2015)
#5. Alex Mauricio, rhp/3B, Norfolk State (Waynesboro 2015)

Horizon League

#6. Zach Sterry, 1B, Oakland (Waynesboro 2016)

Conference USA

#4. Tyler Ratliff, 3B/rhp, Marshall (Purcellville 2016)
#14. Stephen Kerr, rhp, Florida Atlantic (Charles Town 2014)
#15. JC Escarra, 1B/C, Florida International (Staunton 2014)
#19. Cody Puckett, rhp, Middle Tennessee State (Front Royal 2015)

CAA

#9. Adam Sisk, OF, JMU (Staunton 2016)

Big 12

#8. Kameron Esthay, OF, Baylor (Harrisonburg 2015)

Big South

#4. Zach Cook, rhp, Winthrop (Charlottesville 2015)

American Athletic

#7. Jonathan Bowlan, rhp, Memphis (New Market 2016)- 2018 draftee
#17. Drew Crosby, lhp, Memphis (Winchester 2015)

Atlantic Sun

#1. Michael Gigliotti, OF, Lipscomb (Covington 2015)- Player of the Year
#10. Austin Hale, C, Stetson (Waynesboro 2015)

Atlantic 10

#3. Keenan Bartlett, rhp, Richmond (Winchester 2015)
#4. Ryan Kelly, rhp, Saint Joseph’s (New Market 2015)

  • 33 total players
  • By team:
    • Waynesboro- 8
    • Staunton, New Market- 4
    • Charles Town, Winchester, Covington- 3
    • Purcellville, Front Royal, Harrisonburg, Charlottesville- 2

Good luck to all- hopefully all of these young man will get a chance at the next level!

2016 Draft Results

Major League baseball held their annual June amateur draft this week. As usual, ATVL kept track as the players’ names scrolled by. (This is the place for a caveat, though- it’s quite possible that I’ve missed someone, especially if they’re in the Valley in 2016. Please let me know if I’ve missed anyone. (Also, my qualification is that everyone on the following list appeared in a game in the VBL.)) This year, 23 former Valley Leaguers were drafted- the fewest since I started keeping track in 2006 (the next fewest was in 2013, when 40 players were drafted). Also, Matt Albanese was the latest first pick from the league since 2006 as well. (In 2015, JC Cardenas was the first VBLer drafted- in the 6th round, #182 overall. He was the next closest to Albanese.) I do not know why these numbers were so low this year. At any rate, here are the (as of now) 23 players drafted over Thursday, Friday, and Saturday!

2016 Drafted Players

Round, Pick, Name, College, VL Team, ML Team

7   213 Matt Albanese, Bryant, Aldie 2014, Minnesota Twins
12  350 Brandon Gold, Georgia Tech, Harrisonburg 2014, Colorado Rockies
13  406 Shane Billings, Wingate, Harrisonburg 2015, St. Louis Cardinals
14  411 Gabriel Garcia, Broward, Winchester 2016, Milwaukee Brewers
17  523 Dillon Drabble, Seminole State, Charles Town 2015, Kansas City Royals
18  552 Bradley Jones, Charleston, Charles Town 2015, Toronto Blue Jays
22  652 Roger Gonzalez, Winthrop, Waynesboro 2013, Oakland A’s
24  712 Robert Bennie, East Stroudsburg, Waynesboro 2014, Oakland A’s
25  763 Robby Rinn, Bryant, Aldie 2013, Kansas City Royals
27  802 Cole Gruber, Nebraska Omaha, Waynesboro 2014, Oakland A’s
27  826 Michael O’Reilly, Flagler, Woodstock 2014, St. Louis Cardinals
28  851 Jake Perkins, Ferrum, New Market 2013-14, Staunton 2015, Los Angeles Dodgers
29  867 Steven Ridings, Messiah, Charles Town 2014-15, Seattle Mariners
30  915 Chris Cook, East Tennessee State, Waynesboro 2015, Pittsburgh Pirates
31  930 Joey Roach, Georgia State, Harrisonburg 2013-14, Tampa Bay Rays
33  980 Tyler Orris, Millersville, Waynesboro 2014, Colorado Rockies
33  998 Bryson Bowman, Western Carolina, Charles Town 2015, New York Yankees
35 1042 Daniel Rafferty, Bucknell, Strasburg 2015, Oakland A’s
35 1049 Billy Endris, Florida Atlantic, Charles Town 2014, Arizona Diamondbacks
37 1097 James Ziemba, Duke, Harrisonburg 2015, Philadelphia Phillies
37 1123 Justin Camp, Auburn, Harrisonburg 2013, Kansas City Royals
38 1147 Chaz Pal, USC Aiken, Charles Town 2014, Houston Astros
39 1161 Jose Gomez, St. Thomas, Front Royal 2016, Milwaukee Brewers

Charles Town- 6
Harrisonburg, Waynesboro- 5
Aldie- 2
Winchester, Woodstock, New Market, Staunton, Strasburg, Front Royal- 1